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Counter-Strike: GameSensed: The Importance of the First Frag

By: Mark Cheben - Published July 04, 2005 at 3:04 AM EDT - Writer Archive
This has been a lot of information to absorb for one article, so let's summarize what we've found out today.

- The team that gets the first frag in the round wins 75% of those rounds (3 of 4).

- The team that gets the first two frags in the round wins 90% of those rounds (9 of 10).

- The team that gets the first three frag in the round wins 98% of those rounds.

- Only 1 in every 500 rounds does a team win in 1 v 5 situations (first four fragged).

- For CTs, the first frag results in winning the round 80% of the time

- For Ts, the first frag results in winning the round 70% of the time.

- The first frag is least significant on offense for Aztec, Cbble, cpl_fire, and Inferno.

- It is most difficult to win shorthanded on offense on Cbble and Inferno.

- The most balanced map for significance of the first frag on both T and CT is Nuke.

That about wraps it up, so I hope you've enjoyed this article and found the information useful. It might be difficult to even formulate a strategy based on striking first in a round to play the odds, given the nature of the game and the fact that teams are always looking to strike first anyway. However, it might be worth a shot to try some new strategies based on the 75/90 Rule - perhaps stacking one side to get the first frag before spreading out. I could speculate all day on those different scenarios, but my competitive days have long passed so I will leave that up to you. I'll stick to the numerical analysis. The stats don't lie!!
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